SpaceX's S-1 filing — the same one disclosing the absorbed xAI subsidiary's financials — revealed the previously-vague Anthropic-xAI compute arrangement is worth up to $40 billion over the next several years, with Anthropic committing to pay $1.25 billion per month for capacity from xAI-built and SpaceX-owned data centers. Either side can call off the deal early, a clause that gave The Information's headline its 'catch' framing. The same filing put hard numbers on xAI's burn for the first time: Elon Musk's AI subsidiary lost $6.4 billion in 2025 on roughly $1 billion in revenue, with another $2.8 billion in natural-gas turbine purchases queued up over the next three years to power further Grok-scale training. SpaceX itself absorbed xAI earlier in 2026; consolidated SpaceX revenue grew only 15% in Q1 2026 to $4.7 billion (versus blistering growth before the xAI rollup) and the company posted a $4.3 billion quarterly loss, almost all of it attributable to xAI compute.
The deal closes a strange loop: Anthropic, the most safety-positioned major lab, will be a Musk-network customer paying Musk-network margins for a multi-year compute floor; xAI, in turn, gets the recurring revenue line that helps SpaceX justify the IPO's compute-build narrative. From Anthropic's side, this is the SpaceX-Anthropic compute deal Daniel saw rumored last month rendered in dollar terms — $40B over the term is comparable in scale to OpenAI's Stargate commitments and bigger than Anthropic's recently-announced Blackstone enterprise-services build. From an industry-structure perspective, the most-cited number is the $1.25B/month figure: at that run rate the deal is roughly 30% of Anthropic's current annualized revenue committed to a single counterparty, which is part of what The Information's accompanying coverage calls 'Anthropic costs mounting' for downstream software vendors and is feeding pressure on enterprise software firms to shorten Anthropic-backed contracts. Bears point to the optional-termination clause and the Anthropic operating-profit guide (separate story) as evidence both sides may be flexing more than locking in. Bulls treat it as the loudest confirmation yet that vertically-integrated power+compute is now the binding constraint on frontier scaling.
- TechCrunch leads with the monthly run-rate ($1.25B/month) as the surprising number — frames it as 'now we know how much' the deal is worth.
- The Information's deep-dive emphasizes the optional-termination clause and characterizes the IPO disclosure as the 'catch' inside a headline-grabbing dollar amount.
- The Information separately reports the deal is feeding downstream pricing pressure: enterprises pushing software vendors for shorter Anthropic-backed contracts.
- Both sources treat the xAI $6.4B 2025 loss as the more politically explosive disclosure, framing the Anthropic commitment as the revenue line keeping that burn defensible.